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Tropical Depression Carlos Public Advisory Number 15
2021-06-16 10:32:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 PM HST Tue Jun 15 2021 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 160831 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Carlos Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032021 1100 PM HST Tue Jun 15 2021 ...CARLOS BARELY HANGING ON AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...9.2N 135.0W ABOUT 1910 MI...3075 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Carlos was located near latitude 9.2 North, longitude 135.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next few days. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Carlos is expected to degenerate into a remnant low later today and dissipate in a few days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Depression Carlos Forecast Advisory Number 15
2021-06-16 10:31:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUN 16 2021 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 160831 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032021 0900 UTC WED JUN 16 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 135.0W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 135.0W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.3N 134.7W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 9.2N 135.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 9.2N 137.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 9.4N 138.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 9.6N 139.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 9.8N 141.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.2N 135.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-16 07:45:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 160544 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Jun 15 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Carlos, located about 1900 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico are associated with a broad trough of low pressure. A low-pressure system is expected to develop along this trough within the next couple of days as a tropical wave moves westward across the area. Environmental conditions should be favorable for gradual development of this disturbance later this week, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend while the system moves slowly northwestward, offshore of and parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-16 07:37:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 160536 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Wed Jun 16 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Post- Tropical Cyclone Bill, located a couple hundred miles southwest of Cape Race, Newfoundland. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of Campeche and southern Mexico in association with a broad low pressure area. This system will move little during the next day or so, and little if any development is expected during that time due to interaction with land. However, the broad disturbance should begin to move northward on Thursday, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late Thursday or on Friday when the low moves across the western Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will continue over portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next several days. Heavy rains could also begin to affect portions of the northern Gulf Coast on Friday. Please consult products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Depression Carlos Graphics
2021-06-16 04:37:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 16 Jun 2021 02:37:18 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 16 Jun 2021 03:28:19 GMT
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