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Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2026-09-09 22:38:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED SEP 09 2026 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 092038 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142026 2100 UTC WED SEP 09 2026 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 115.2W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 115.2W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 114.6W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.9N 117.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.8N 119.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.7N 122.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.6N 124.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.9N 126.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.2N 127.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 17.4N 130.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 17.9N 133.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 115.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z $$ FORECASTER EVANS/CANGIALOSI
Category:Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Public Advisory Number 1
2026-09-09 22:38:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Wed Sep 09 2026 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 092038 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142026 200 PM PDT Wed Sep 09 2026 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.7N 115.2W ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fourteen-E was located near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 115.2 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and a generally westward motion is expected over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast over the next several days, and the depression could become a tropical storm tonight or Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Evans/Cangialosi
Category:Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Tropical Depression Fourteen-E (EP4/EP142026)
2026-09-09 22:38:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... As of 2:00 PM PDT Wed Sep 09 the center of Fourteen-E was located near 15.7, -115.2 with movement WNW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Category:Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2026-09-09 19:38:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000ABPZ20 KNHC 091738TWOEP Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL1100 AM PDT Wed Sep 9 2026For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Lowell, located several hundred miles north-northwest of the Hawaiian Islands.Central Portion and West Portion of the East Pacific (EP96):Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to support continued development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form later today or tonight. as the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. For more information, including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecast issued by National Weather Service.* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.Central Portion and West Portion of the East Pacific:An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula this weekend or early next week. Some gradual development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.Well South-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles south-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Some gradual development is possible late this week into this weekend as this system moves slowly north-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.&&High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Servicecan be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php$$Forecaster Evans/Kelly
Category:Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2026-09-09 13:23:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
442 ABPZ20 KNHC 091123TWOEP Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL500 AM PDT Wed Sep 9 2026For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Lowell, located a few hundred miles north-northwest of the Hawaiian Islands.Central Portion and West Portion of the East Pacific (EP96):Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to become better organized in association with an elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Further development is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.Central Portion and West Portion of the East Pacific:An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula this weekend or early next week. Some gradual development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.$$Forecaster Evans/Kelly
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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