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Potential Tropical Cyclone Three Forecast Advisory Number 5
2021-06-18 22:32:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUN 18 2021 000 WTNT23 KNHC 182032 TCMAT3 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032021 2100 UTC FRI JUN 18 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF MORGAN CITY...LOUISIANA TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA. * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 6-12 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 91.2W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......180NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 91.2W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 91.2W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 29.5N 90.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 31.4N 89.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 32.8N 87.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 33.8N 84.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 34.7N 81.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N 91.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 19/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-18 19:43:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 181743 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Three, located over the north-central Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Three are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Three are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-18 19:43:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 181743 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Jun 18 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Dolores, located a couple of hundred miles south of Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Dolores are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Dolores are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Storm Dolores Graphics
2021-06-18 19:43:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 18 Jun 2021 17:43:28 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 18 Jun 2021 15:28:21 GMT
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dolores
Summary for Potential Tropical Cyclone Three (AT3/AL032021)
2021-06-18 19:43:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DISTURBANCE A LITTLE STRONGER... ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS BEGINNING TO REACH PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... As of 1:00 PM CDT Fri Jun 18 the center of Three was located near 27.3, -91.1 with movement NNE at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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