je.st
news
Tag: tropical
Summary for Tropical Depression Omar (AT5/AL152020)
2020-09-03 10:44:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...OMAR REFUSES TO GIVE IN TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS... As of 5:00 AM AST Thu Sep 3 the center of Omar was located near 36.3, -62.4 with movement E at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
tropical
depression
omar
Tropical Depression Omar Public Advisory Number 11
2020-09-03 10:44:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Thu Sep 03 2020 694 WTNT35 KNHC 030844 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Omar Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152020 500 AM AST Thu Sep 03 2020 ...OMAR REFUSES TO GIVE IN TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.3N 62.4W ABOUT 310 MI...495 KM NNE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Omar was located near latitude 36.3 North, longitude 62.4 West. Omar is moving toward the east near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through tonight, accompanied by a decrease in forward speed. A turn toward the east-northeast and northeast is expected Friday and Friday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast, and Omar is expected to become a remnant low later today or tonight. The remnant low should dissipate on Saturday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: number
public
advisory
tropical
Tropical Storm Nana Forecast Discussion Number 9
2020-09-03 10:44:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Thu Sep 03 2020 457 WTNT41 KNHC 030844 TCDAT1 Tropical Storm Nana Discussion Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162020 400 AM CDT Thu Sep 03 2020 Nana made landfall on the coast of Belize about 45 n mi south of Belize City around 0600 UTC today. It is estimated to be located inland and weakening over the southern part of that country with maximum winds of no more than 60 kt at this time. The small circulation will be moving over mountainous terrain today and tonight, so rapid weakening is likely. The official forecast is similar to the Decay-SHIPS intensity guidance, and calls for the system to degenerate into a remnant low by Friday. Although the remnants of Nana are forecast to move into the east Pacific in about 36 hours, the model guidance is in good agreement that conditions in that area will not be conducive for regeneration. The tropical cyclone continues to move a little south of west, or around 255/13 kt. A low- to mid-level ridge to the north of Nana should keep it moving on a west to west-southwestward track during the next day or so. The NHC track forecast is similar to the previous one, and on the northern side of the guidance envelope. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Tropical storm conditions will continue within the warning areas in Belize, Mexico, Guatemala, and the Bay Islands of Honduras this morning. Storm surge along the Belize coast will subside this morning as Nana moves farther inland. 2. Heavy rainfall with isolated maximum amounts as high as 8 to 12 inches could result in flash flooding in Belize, Guatemala, and portions of southeastern Mexico and the Yucatan Peninsula. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/0900Z 16.7N 88.8W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND 12H 03/1800Z 16.4N 90.7W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND 24H 04/0600Z 15.8N 93.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 36H 04/1800Z 15.3N 95.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 05/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Tropical Depression Omar Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2020-09-03 10:44:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 03 2020 458 FONT15 KNHC 030844 PWSAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OMAR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152020 0900 UTC THU SEP 03 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OMAR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG
Tags: number
speed
wind
tropical
Summary for Tropical Storm Nana (AT1/AL162020)
2020-09-03 10:44:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...NANA INLAND OVER SOUTHERN BELIZE... As of 4:00 AM CDT Thu Sep 3 the center of Nana was located near 16.7, -88.8 with movement WSW at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
nana
Sites : [1605] [1606] [1607] [1608] [1609] [1610] [1611] [1612] [1613] [1614] [1615] [1616] [1617] [1618] [1619] [1620] [1621] [1622] [1623] [1624] next »