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Tropical Depression Enrique Public Advisory Number 22
2021-06-30 16:38:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Wed Jun 30 2021 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 301438 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Enrique Advisory Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021 900 AM MDT Wed Jun 30 2021 ...ENRIQUE WEAKENS INTO A DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.6N 110.0W ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM NE OF LA PAZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Enrique was located near latitude 24.6 North, longitude 110.0 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a turn to the west-northwest is expected later today. On the forecast track, the center of Enrique will move over Baja California Sur tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected during the next day or so, and Enrique is forecast to dissipate on Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Enrique can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages. RAINFALL: Enrique is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with maximum amounts of 4 inches across the southern portions of Baja California Sur. This rainfall may trigger flash flooding and mudslides. SURF: Swells generated by Enrique will affect portions of the western coast of Mexico and the coast of Baja California Sur during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
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Tropical Depression Enrique Forecast Advisory Number 22
2021-06-30 16:37:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUN 30 2021 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 301437 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052021 1500 UTC WED JUN 30 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 110.0W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 110.0W AT 30/1500Z AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 109.8W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 25.0N 110.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 25.4N 111.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 110.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART/BEVEN
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-30 13:38:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 301138 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Jun 30 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Windward Islands. This system is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms that continues to show some signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 20 mph. Interests in the Windward and Leeward Islands should closely monitor this system as it will likely be moving through that region on Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a tropical wave located just east of the Lesser Antilles. Significant development of this system is unlikely while it moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph, passing through the Lesser Antilles today and then across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea later this week. Regardless of development, this system could bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Lesser Antilles during the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-30 13:36:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 301136 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Jun 30 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Enrique, located just east of the southern Baja California Peninsula. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
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Tropical Storm Enrique Graphics
2021-06-30 10:49:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 30 Jun 2021 08:49:25 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 30 Jun 2021 08:49:25 GMT
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