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Tropical Storm Cristina Forecast Discussion Number 25
2020-07-12 22:32:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Sun Jul 12 2020 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 122032 TCDEP5 Tropical Storm Cristina Discussion Number 25 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052020 200 PM PDT Sun Jul 12 2020 Cristina has been devoid of deep convection for several hours. The cyclone's circulation now consists of a large swirl of low- to mid-level clouds as it continues to move over waters of about 23 C and into a progressively drier and more stable surrounding atmosphere. Although intensity estimates continue to steadily decease, the vortex is taking some additional time to spin down, as indicated by a recent ASCAT-A overpass that showed maximum winds of 35 kt over a portion of the cyclone. Based on the ASCAT data, Cristina's intensity is being maintained at 35 kt for this advisory. Given the environmental conditions, it is unlikely that deep convection will redevelop near Cristina's center, and the cyclone is expected to become a remnant low soon. The associated winds will continue to decrease over the next couple of days and the low is forecast to open into a trough within a few days. Cristina is moving westward at 11 kt and this general motion is expected to continue until dissipation, as the system is steered by the low level easterlies. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 12/2100Z 20.7N 125.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 13/0600Z 21.0N 127.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 13/1800Z 21.4N 129.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 14/0600Z 22.0N 132.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 14/1800Z 22.5N 135.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 15/0600Z 23.0N 137.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto
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