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Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2021-08-26 04:42:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 26 2021 410 FOPZ14 KNHC 260242 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 0300 UTC THU AUG 26 2021 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 20(39) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 20(37) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 23(34) 2(36) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 1(13) 15N 105W 34 X 1( 1) 17(18) 38(56) 5(61) X(61) X(61) 15N 105W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 3(23) X(23) X(23) 15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 3(16) X(16) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 22(26) 3(29) 1(30) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) X(10) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 100W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ACAPULCO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 23(28) 6(34) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) 20N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 4(17) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER REINHART/PASCH
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