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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-02 01:30:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 012330 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Oct 1 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization in association with a broad area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are somewhat conducive for slow development during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the system drifts westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A trough of low pressure is producing a few disorganized showers and thunderstorms a few hundred miles west of Manzanillo, Mexico. Development of this system is no longer anticipated due to unfavorable environmental conditions as it moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin

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