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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-07 07:11:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

623 ABPZ20 KNHC 070511 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Aug 6 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form over the weekend or early next week while moving westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by early next week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph, parallel to and offshore of the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

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