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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-30 19:43:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
200 ABPZ20 KNHC 301743 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Jul 30 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite wind data indicate that tropical-storm-force winds are occuring on the east side of an elongated low pressure system located about 700 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Any improvement in the organization of the circulation would lead to the system being designated a tropical storm, and that is expected to occur later today or Saturday. For more information on this system, please see High Seas forecasts issued by the NOAA Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another area of low pressure is located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The associated showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization, but are still mostly confined to the southeast of the center. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for development during the next day or so, and a tropical depression is expected to form over the weekend while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles off the coast of southern Mexico are associated with a tropical wave. Gradual development of this system is expected during the next several days, and it could become a tropical depression early next week while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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