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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-30 19:20:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
472 ABNT20 KNHC 301720 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-30 19:20:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 301719 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Jun 30 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Four-E, located a few hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure is forecast to form a few hundred miles south of the coast of Mexico late this week. Gradual development of the system will be possible by the weekend while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph well south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Four-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Four-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Tropical Depression Four-E Graphics
2020-06-30 16:32:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 30 Jun 2020 14:32:50 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 30 Jun 2020 14:32:50 GMT
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Tropical Depression Four-E Forecast Discussion Number 3
2020-06-30 16:31:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 301431 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Four-E Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042020 900 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020 The depression's center remains exposed, with any limited convection displaced more than 90 n mi northeast of the center. Effectively, the system is on its way to becoming a remnant low this afternoon if convection does not re-form closer to the center. The initial wind speed remains 25 kt. The low should gradually spin down during the next day or two over cool waters while it moves slowly northwestward. Only a small northeastward shift was made to the track forecast, and the low should degenerate into a trough of low pressure in a couple of days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/1500Z 20.8N 112.9W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 01/0000Z 20.9N 113.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 01/1200Z 21.0N 113.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 02/0000Z 21.2N 113.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake
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depression
Tropical Depression Four-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2020-06-30 16:31:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUN 30 2020 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 301431 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042020 1500 UTC TUE JUN 30 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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