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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-19 19:22:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 191722 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Sep 19 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure has formed in association with an area of disturbed weather located a few hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. The showers and thunderstorms have also increased and become more concentrated today. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week while the system moves west-northwestward at around 10 mph, away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
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eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-19 19:16:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 191716 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Sep 19 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Beta, located over the western Gulf of Mexico, on Hurricane Teddy, located over the central Atlantic, and on Tropical Storm Wilfred, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic. Shower activity has increased a little today in association with Post-Tropical Cyclone Paulette, which is is moving southward a few hundred miles southwest of the Azores. The cyclone is forecast to continue southward for the next day or so and then stall over marginally warm waters a few hundred miles south of the Azores. The cyclone could subsequently develop tropical or subtropical characteristics by early next week while it moves little. For more information about marine hazards associated with this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A tropical wave is located near the west coast of Africa and will move westward over the far eastern Atlantic during the next few days. Development of this system is no longer expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2 $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
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tropical
Tropical Storm Beta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2020-09-19 17:42:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020 000 FONT12 KNHC 191541 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM BETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222020 1500 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) GULFPORT MS 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) STENNIS MS 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) BURAS LA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 3( 6) 5(11) GFMX 280N 890W 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 3(10) 4(14) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 4( 8) 6(14) GFMX 280N 910W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 6(12) 6(18) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 5(13) 7(20) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 5( 9) 8(17) 5(22) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 5(11) 7(18) 7(25) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 5(11) 7(18) 7(25) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) GFMX 280N 930W 34 78 11(89) 2(91) 1(92) 1(93) X(93) 1(94) GFMX 280N 930W 50 10 11(21) 4(25) 1(26) 1(27) 3(30) 2(32) GFMX 280N 930W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 7(12) 4(16) FORT POLK LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 7(13) 9(22) 5(27) FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) LAKE CHARLES 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 9(18) 10(28) 6(34) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) LAKE CHARLES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) CAMERON LA 34 4 13(17) 14(31) 6(37) 8(45) 7(52) 5(57) CAMERON LA 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 5(11) 5(16) CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) JASPER TX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 10(17) 10(27) 5(32) JASPER TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) JASPER TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) KOUNTZE TX 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) 13(25) 10(35) 5(40) KOUNTZE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) KOUNTZE TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 6(15) 12(27) 12(39) 5(44) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) PORT ARTHUR TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) GALVESTON TX 34 3 18(21) 27(48) 11(59) 7(66) 4(70) 2(72) GALVESTON TX 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) 6(19) 5(24) 3(27) GALVESTON TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) HOUSTON TX 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) 13(24) 15(39) 9(48) 3(51) HOUSTON TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 5(14) 2(16) HOUSTON TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) AUSTIN TX 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 15(21) 7(28) 1(29) AUSTIN TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 12(18) 7(25) 1(26) SAN ANTONIO TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) FREEPORT TX 34 X 5( 5) 25(30) 17(47) 11(58) 4(62) 2(64) FREEPORT TX 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 7(18) 4(22) 2(24) FREEPORT TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) GFMX 280N 950W 34 9 40(49) 28(77) 6(83) 4(87) 1(88) 1(89) GFMX 280N 950W 50 1 9(10) 28(38) 10(48) 5(53) 1(54) 2(56) GFMX 280N 950W 64 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15) 4(19) X(19) 2(21) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 1 3( 4) 13(17) 9(26) 11(37) 9(46) 4(50) HIGH ISLAND TX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 4( 7) 5(12) 3(15) HIGH ISLAND TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) MATAGORDA TX 34 2 14(16) 32(48) 17(65) 8(73) 3(76) 2(78) MATAGORDA TX 50 X 1( 1) 9(10) 16(26) 9(35) 3(38) 2(40) MATAGORDA TX 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 5(12) 2(14) X(14) PORT O CONNOR 34 1 11(12) 31(43) 19(62) 10(72) 4(76) 2(78) PORT O CONNOR 50 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 16(25) 11(36) 4(40) 1(41) PORT O CONNOR 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 6(12) 1(13) 1(14) ROCKPORT TX 34 X 2( 2) 11(13) 17(30) 17(47) 8(55) 1(56) ROCKPORT TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 9(15) 4(19) X(19) ROCKPORT TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 12(19) 18(37) 8(45) 1(46) CORPUS CHRISTI 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 3(13) 1(14) CORPUS CHRISTI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) GFMX 270N 960W 34 2 17(19) 28(47) 12(59) 11(70) 3(73) 1(74) GFMX 270N 960W 50 X 2( 2) 10(12) 11(23) 9(32) 4(36) 1(37) GFMX 270N 960W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) 1(13) 1(14) MCALLEN TX 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 7(12) 6(18) 1(19) MCALLEN TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) HARLINGEN TX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 11(17) 6(23) 1(24) HARLINGEN TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 10(16) 6(22) X(22) BROWNSVILLE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GFMX 250N 960W 34 1 3( 4) 5( 9) 6(15) 9(24) 4(28) 1(29) GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) KEESLER AB 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 6(10) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tropical Storm Beta Graphics
2020-09-19 17:40:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 19 Sep 2020 15:40:57 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 19 Sep 2020 15:33:27 GMT
Tags: graphics
beta
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tropical
Tropical Storm Beta Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
2020-09-19 17:40:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Sat, 19 Sep 2020 15:40:40 GMT
Tags: map
potential
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