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Summary for Tropical Depression Eighteen-E (EP3/EP182020)

2020-09-29 16:41:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY... As of 9:00 AM MDT Tue Sep 29 the center of Eighteen-E was located near 13.3, -108.5 with movement W at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression Eighteen-E Public Advisory Number 2

2020-09-29 16:41:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 900 AM MDT Tue Sep 29 2020 861 WTPZ33 KNHC 291441 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Eighteen-E Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182020 900 AM MDT Tue Sep 29 2020 ...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.3N 108.5W ABOUT 670 MI...1075 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eighteen-E was located near latitude 13.3 North, longitude 108.5 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h), and a westward to west-northwestward motion at a faster forward speed is expected through Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady strengthening is anticipated during the next few days, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today. The system is forecast to become a hurricane by early Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Tropical Depression Eighteen-E Forecast Advisory Number 2

2020-09-29 16:41:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 29 2020 860 WTPZ23 KNHC 291441 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182020 1500 UTC TUE SEP 29 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 108.5W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 108.5W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 108.1W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 13.8N 110.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 14.4N 113.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 14.6N 116.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 14.7N 119.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 15.4N 121.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.4N 124.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 18.9N 127.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 21.0N 130.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 108.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-29 13:40:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 291139 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Sep 29 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the western Caribbean Sea in a few days. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late this week or this weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-29 13:39:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 291139 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Sep 29 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center has initiated advisories on Tropical Depression Eighteen-E, located about 700 miles south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eighteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eighteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. $$ Forecaster Berg

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