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Tropical Depression Twenty-Nine Forecast Advisory Number 1
2020-10-31 21:48:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT OCT 31 2020 771 WTNT24 KNHC 312048 TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 2100 UTC SAT OCT 31 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION. HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE COUNTRIES LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 73.2W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 73.2W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 72.4W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 15.1N 75.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.4N 78.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.5N 80.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.1N 82.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 50SE 60SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.3N 83.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 70SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 13.8N 83.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 70SE 70SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 13.5N 85.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 14.0N 86.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 73.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-31 18:49:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 311749 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A vigorous tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea continues to produce organized cloudiness and thunderstorms, and a tropical depression appears to be forming. If this recent development trend continues, then advisories will likely be initiated on this disturbance this afternoon or evening while the system moves generally westward at about 15 mph toward the western Caribbean Sea. Interests in Jamaica, Honduras, and Nicaragua should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, this disturbance is expected to produce heavy rainfall across portions of Jamaica and southern Hispaniola through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart/Berg
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-31 18:16:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 311716 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Oct 31 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad trough of low pressure is forecast to develop south or southwest of the coast of southern Mexico by Monday. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of the week as the system moves westward to west-northwestward over the eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-31 12:29:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 311129 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Oct 31 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad trough of low pressure is expected to develop south or southwest of the coast of southern Mexico by Monday. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of the week as the system moves westward to west-northwestward over the eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-31 12:15:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 311115 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A vigorous tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea continues to produce a concentrated area of thunderstorms. This system is gradually becoming better organized, and conditions are conducive for further development. A tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or so while the disturbance moves generally westward into the western Caribbean Sea. Interests in Honduras and Nicaragua should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, this disturbance is expected to produce heavy rainfall across portions of the ABC Islands and Jamaica through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart/Berg
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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