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Tropical Storm Harvey Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2017-08-19 10:42:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 190841 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017 0900 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 5(14) FRONTERA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 1(12) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) 1(14) BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 18(29) 1(30) BELIZE CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) BELIZE CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 1(14) PUERTO BARRIOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) GUANAJA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 4(33) X(33) GUANAJA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) GUANAJA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 1(12) X(12) SAN ANDRES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) KINGSTON 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LES CAYES 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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